Multi-year obligation analysis
We ground every read in three years of actual federal obligations, prime awards already made. Historical award behavior is the most reliable evidence of how an agency truly buys, not how its budget says it will.
The data behind the strategy
We start with what the data actually shows.
Every strategy we build rests on real federal award data. Here's how we read the market, and a free tool to find where your business fits.
Small businesses winning energy-adjacent federal work
Distinct small businesses winning prime contract awards. Grant, subcontract, and financial-assistance opportunities, including significant programs at the Department of Energy, are not reflected here.
How we read the market
Forecast and forward signals
Historical spend is the foundation, not the whole picture. We weigh it against procurement forecasts, expiring contracts, and budget signals to project where the next opportunities are forming, so your strategy aims where the market is going.
NAICS and PSC concentration
We segment by both industry and product-service code, then measure how award volume concentrates among incumbents. Concentration reveals whether a market is genuinely open or effectively captured before you ever submit a bid.
Set-aside and competitive posture
We isolate the small-business set-aside channels, 8(a), HUBZone, SDVOSB, WOSB, and total small-business, to separate the contracts you can realistically win from the ones structurally out of reach.
Subcontracting pathways
Not every opportunity is a prime contract. Large incumbents on major vehicles carry subcontracting plan obligations, and they actively need qualified small businesses to meet them. A market that looks captured at the prime level is often wide open at the subcontract level. We identify which teams to approach, often the fastest realistic path to your first federal work.
The strongest strategies weigh all of these together. Our Snapshot gives you the historical and structural foundation, prime and subcontract. Our advisory engagements layer in live forecast intelligence and the judgment of fifteen years in the field, for the most realistic read on what you can actually win.
Free tool
Find your NAICS codes.
Describe what your business does. We'll identify the federal codes that fit, show you the energy work happening under them, and point you to where you're most competitive.
These are likely matches to help you get oriented. Confirm your official code before registering in SAM.gov, since it affects your size standard and set-aside eligibility.
Want the full picture for your market?
A Market Snapshot turns this data into a clear read on where your business is competitive, as a prime and as a subcontractor.